Trade Ideas  ·  Trade idea · Oct 14, 2026

Trade Syndication · Volatility spikes · Wednesday, Oct 14

USD/CAD: 0.55% in one hour on Wednesday

08:30 to 09:30 ET around US Core CPI m/m, and what happened in the two hours after.

For every market we cover we find its busiest hour of the day and set it against its normal hour: the median one-hour range of its last 20 sessions. A spike is an hour of three times normal or more. These are the biggest on Wednesday, Oct 14, with any scheduled news around them and what the market did in the two hours after. Times are New York time.

  • ⚡ USD/CAD 0.55% in an hour (9.2× normal)
  • ⚡ EUR/USD 0.75% in an hour (9.1× normal)
  • ⚡ GBP/USD 0.66% in an hour (7.8× normal)
  • ⚡ AUD/USD 0.74% in an hour (7.4× normal)
  • ⚡ Silver 3.78% in an hour (7.0× normal)

1. USD/CAD: a one-hour burst 9.2× its normal hour, around US Core CPI m/m

USD/CAD: a one-hour burst 9.2× its normal hour, around US Core CPI m/m
USD/CAD on Wednesday, Oct 14, 15-minute candles with the burst hour shaded; below, every hour’s range through the day against its normal hour.
One hour0.55% (08:30 to 09:30 ET)
A normal hour0.06% (median of 20 sessions)
This hour9.2× (a normal hour)

Between 08:30 and 09:30 ET on Wednesday, USD/CAD traded a 0.55% range, 9.2× a normal hour for it (about 0.06%).

It came with US Core CPI m/m at 08:30 ET.

It moved +0.46% in that hour, then held there over the next two hours.

2. EUR/USD: a one-hour burst 9.1× its normal hour, around US Core CPI m/m

EUR/USD: a one-hour burst 9.1× its normal hour, around US Core CPI m/m
EUR/USD on Wednesday, Oct 14, 15-minute candles with the burst hour shaded; below, every hour’s range through the day against its normal hour.
One hour0.75% (08:30 to 09:30 ET)
A normal hour0.08% (median of 20 sessions)
This hour9.1× (a normal hour)

Between 08:30 and 09:30 ET on Wednesday, EUR/USD traded a 0.75% range, 9.1× a normal hour for it (about 0.08%).

It came with US Core CPI m/m at 08:30 ET.

It moved −0.60% in that hour, then held there over the next two hours.

3. GBP/USD: a one-hour burst 7.8× its normal hour, around US Core CPI m/m

GBP/USD: a one-hour burst 7.8× its normal hour, around US Core CPI m/m
GBP/USD on Wednesday, Oct 14, 15-minute candles with the burst hour shaded; below, every hour’s range through the day against its normal hour.
One hour0.66% (08:30 to 09:30 ET)
A normal hour0.08% (median of 20 sessions)
This hour7.8× (a normal hour)

Between 08:30 and 09:30 ET on Wednesday, GBP/USD traded a 0.66% range, 7.8× a normal hour for it (about 0.08%).

It came with US Core CPI m/m at 08:30 ET.

It moved −0.55% in that hour, then kept going: another 0.36% over the next two hours.

4. AUD/USD: a one-hour burst 7.4× its normal hour, around US Core CPI m/m

AUD/USD: a one-hour burst 7.4× its normal hour, around US Core CPI m/m
AUD/USD on Wednesday, Oct 14, 15-minute candles with the burst hour shaded; below, every hour’s range through the day against its normal hour.
One hour0.74% (08:15 to 09:15 ET)
A normal hour0.10% (median of 20 sessions)
This hour7.4× (a normal hour)

Between 08:15 and 09:15 ET on Wednesday, AUD/USD traded a 0.74% range, 7.4× a normal hour for it (about 0.10%).

It came with US Core CPI m/m at 08:30 ET.

It moved −0.58% in that hour, then kept going: another 0.21% over the next two hours.

5. Silver: a one-hour burst 7.0× its normal hour, around US Core CPI m/m

Silver: a one-hour burst 7.0× its normal hour, around US Core CPI m/m
Silver on Wednesday, Oct 14, 15-minute candles with the burst hour shaded; below, every hour’s range through the day against its normal hour.
One hour3.78% (08:30 to 09:30 ET)
A normal hour0.54% (median of 20 sessions)
This hour7.0× (a normal hour)

Between 08:30 and 09:30 ET on Wednesday, Silver traded a 3.78% range, 7.0× a normal hour for it (about 0.54%).

It came with US Core CPI m/m at 08:30 ET.

It moved −3.36% in that hour, then kept going: another 1.14% over the next two hours.

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